Monday, May 16, 2022

The Casual Bettor #3 UFC 274

 



That one hurt, spiritually, emotionally, and financially. It’s the most I’ve ever betted before and therefore it was the most I’ve ever lost. I’m writing this on Wednesday because I didn’t time to calculate my actual tickets. I’m down -129 a bunch on Rose and the Trevor Wittman Parlay which is a garbage parlay. I threw of couple of my bucks on some props for fun. Thinking at least I would be covered on the Rose bet. Honestly, I should have cashed out once I saw Drake make a bet on Gaethje. That motherfucker is the kiss of death. The Drake curse is real. I betted Charles against Tony. I managed to bet Charles live against Poirier mainly because I was a fan of Poirier and Charles. I faded Charles because I’ve seen him get dropped in his two last title fights. I’d figured “measured and composed” Gaethje could get the job. Down but Gaethje obviously has a gaping hole in Jiu Jitsu and seemed to overextend himself. I think people want to fade Charles for whatever reason but it’s kind of like Francisco Trinaldo he might be 43 and should be technically slowing down but you can’t fade him until you actually see him slowing down.   Charles is going to be the champion for a while. Now for Rose… just didn’t see not having offense as possible outcome. Rose struggling to get off the ground. A possibility. Rose trading haymakers not really a thought but it’s an outcome. Feinting on the outside for 5 rounds with very limited engagement not something I could think of. Its like freak injuries, it’s a possibility but you can’t bank on it.

               The biggest lesson I learned was bankroll management and betting discipline. I was getting overconfident with the Puelles bet and this was a great lesson that I needed to learn. I didn’t finish writing this until 5/16. I put $3 three fight parlay that got busted Rakic with the freak accident was in it, so it is what is. I feel like I’m ready to get back in the MMA betting game. I had time to lick my wounds. I think the emotional investment in Rose as fan took something out of me. I should not have those problems. I don’t know. We gotta get back on the horse and put these bets in.  

Wednesday, May 4, 2022

The Casual Bettor #2 UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera

So my only pick initially was Gina I laid a solid $25 at -160. Didn't go my way.   I also made parlay and got drunk at an all you can eat drink before the fights and made the Collier fight which i was robbed of and then bet the Prop of Chito by decision and clutched my pearls for 3 rounds as Chito kept dropping Font and almost finishing him but the MMA gods shined on my.




All in all I'm down on this $27.95 this week.