Wednesday, January 13, 2021

The Slips #1

 

So sports betting has been legal in DC for sometime now.  I was reluctant to sharing my bets mainly out of fear of losing.  But that’s going to happen, the question is are you winning the majority of the time.  I can tell you honestly that I wasn’t up until my recent wager.  Sometimes because it was a close fight and the decisions didn’t go my way.  Sometimes I simply didn’t do the research and relied on recency bias.  A lot of times I bet the day of 3 or 5 dollars on one of my favorites.  So I started writing this Saturday and didn’t finish but I was going to go on and rant on by why I made my pick and how everyone else were wrong about Kevin Holland and Charles Oliveira.  I could go on about Kevin Holland’s 9 inch reach advantage his youth advantage over inactive 41 year old Jacare. Or I could talk about the Oliveira 7 fight win streak and all being finishes and Tony’s non-existent edge on grappling since Oliveira has 19 finishes via submission one those being rare in MMA calf slicer.  The narrative that I thought would play out happened.  I felt strong enough to put a bet on it and write about it.  Strong enough to where I would I tell Vicki we need to mortgage the house on it. I would never do that but sometimes I feel things are just locks.  Writing this blog has helped me recognize that these “locks” or “I told you so” aren’t going to come every card. I felt very strongly about this card.  So I picked Holland and Oliveira. It worked