UFC 247

So I lost $3.33 on my last bunch of bets. I’m bankroll is down from 240.88 to 237.55.  So that my current bankroll I haven’t lost the house yet but I’ve lost a Chop’t Salad $12.45 since i started out with $250.00

UFC 247

Jon Jones (c)	vs.	Dominick Reyes
Valentina Shevchenko (c)	vs.	Katlyn Chookagian
Juan Adams	vs.	Justin Tafa
Mirsad Bektić	vs.	Dan Ige
Derrick Lewis	vs.	Ilir Latifi
Trevin Giles	vs.	Antonio Arroyo
Alex Morono	vs.	Kalinn Williams
Lauren Murphy	vs.	Andrea Lee
Miles Johns	vs.	Mario Bautista
Journey Newson	vs.	Domingo Pilarte
Andre Ewell	vs.	Jonathan Martinez
Austin Lingo	vs.	Youseff Zalal

Andre Ewell (-128) vs Jonathan Martinez (+118)

I kinda don’t understand why Andre Ewell is the favorite none of the fights Ewell has won are fighters who are currently in the UFC beating Renan Baro post USADA is not a feat.  Martinez only UFC to low fight IQ Andre Soukhamthath (watch the 3rd round of Sean O’Malley fight to the IQ reference). Andre is a big bantamweight who tends to fade in the 3rd.  He is very aggresive which really complements Martinez’s style either of them push the ground game much but look out for Martinez’s counters in the match up i got $30 on this matchup.

We are going to get into Prop bets for the first time here. So were are going to pick a Prop bet for the Shevchenko vs Cookagian fight.  Since the straight moneyline for this fight is insane. Valentina is around (-855) favorite and in some books (-1600). For  reference I get my moneylines from 5dimes.  At those lines there isn’t really any value in betting Valetina and I hate Chookagian fighting style and i can’t wait for her to get KO’d and will be against her at all times.  Even with that emotion i will not bet the moneyline because there is no value however

Valentina Shevchenko (-125) to win by decision. 

Shevchenko is a monster she is Muay Thai specialist but she is a complete fighter and I think P4P best female fighter in the world.  She won that second fight with Amanda Nunes.   However, how dominant she might be those finishes are hard to get when a fighter doesn’t want to engage.  Chookagian game plan will be circle, not engage, and lose by decision.  He favorite strikes are air strikes.  She will unload combos at the air at will.  God I hate fighting style.  She is like Holly Holm but more boring and less finishes and a worst Instagram.  So I got $25 on Valentina to win by decision.

Trevin Giles (-145) vs Antonio Arroyo (+135)

I got pick a an underdog Antonio is my underdog for this card.  Trevin Giles is an undersized Middleweight. He will have the crowd behind him which will either help or hurt as a Houston Cop.  I’ve got Arroyo because he has got a lot of power and good ground defense.  I’m was impressed with his last loss because it was against a ground specialist with the majority of his wins were by submission.  Being able to get out of bad positions and back to your feet is a must at this level.  Look at for the body kick by Arroyo.  I’ve got $20 on Arroyo.  This is why I stop doing the whole deep dive on one fight because as you can see I think half the time a fight gets pulled its during or right after weigh-ins.  Antonio Arroyo successfully made weight but ended up passing out afterwards.  He was taken to the hospital. Now taking the fight on one day notice is James Krause.  Whose welterweight and basically just taking the fight at his walking around weight.  The line on this fight is even, Vegas thinks he is a live dog and with 6 fight win streak I’m going to put $10 James Krause at -110