UFC 247 Recap and Anderson vs Blachowicz

I got screwed the judging was horrid and I basically got screwed out of $40 bucks.  The judge who scored the Jones fight 49-46 also gave Andre Ewell 30-27 and a gave Trevin Giles the first round despite the fact he spent the 4 minutes  of round defending a rear naked choke.  I’m also done another $25 because Chookagian has no ground and got stopped in the third.  I’m not mad at that bet.  I thought i was getting pretty good odds considering Chookagian’s style.  I can’t be pissed at that bet but I’m pissed in the judging it really screwed me.  What I’m happy about is that If you had a competent judge.  I just confirmed on Twitter that Ewell severely injured his arm.  He didn’t state that it was broke but he admitted he was fighting with one arm. Also well noted even despite that the judges gave it to Giles my initial pick of Arroyo probably would have worked out.  If you can barely beat welterweight taking the fight on days notice you probably couldn’t beat a true middleweight with a full camp.   I guess its time to move on from the horrible judging from UFC 247 because this MMA train won’t stop.  

Took a hit to the roll $237.55 - $65 = $172.55.  Let’s try not go on tilt on this card. 

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Błachowicz 2

Corey Anderson (-190) vs Jan Blachowicz (+165)

I would have loved to get on the opening line of this fight.  As it opened up at -145 and has gotten back up to -210 today of the weigh-ins  Initially started writing this on Thursday.  I’ve talked about Corey before the guy has turned a corner and he is just getting better.  Put the house on Anderson or just $30.

Diego Sanchez (+145) vs Michel Pereira (-155)

I picking Diego here. Normally I would stay away with him leaving Jackson/Wink but I’m picking him for one reason and one reason only. CARDIO.  Michel Pereira will be doing flips, spinning shit, and dancing around the cage.  He is also a huge Welterweight and the fact he does all those explosive movements he is going to gas.  Let’s look for Sanchez to take this to the ground.  I’ve got $7 on Sanchez.

UFC 247

So I lost $3.33 on my last bunch of bets. I’m bankroll is down from 240.88 to 237.55.  So that my current bankroll I haven’t lost the house yet but I’ve lost a Chop’t Salad $12.45 since i started out with $250.00

UFC 247

Jon Jones (c)	vs.	Dominick Reyes
Valentina Shevchenko (c)	vs.	Katlyn Chookagian
Juan Adams	vs.	Justin Tafa
Mirsad Bektić	vs.	Dan Ige
Derrick Lewis	vs.	Ilir Latifi
Trevin Giles	vs.	Antonio Arroyo
Alex Morono	vs.	Kalinn Williams
Lauren Murphy	vs.	Andrea Lee
Miles Johns	vs.	Mario Bautista
Journey Newson	vs.	Domingo Pilarte
Andre Ewell	vs.	Jonathan Martinez
Austin Lingo	vs.	Youseff Zalal

Andre Ewell (-128) vs Jonathan Martinez (+118)

I kinda don’t understand why Andre Ewell is the favorite none of the fights Ewell has won are fighters who are currently in the UFC beating Renan Baro post USADA is not a feat.  Martinez only UFC to low fight IQ Andre Soukhamthath (watch the 3rd round of Sean O’Malley fight to the IQ reference). Andre is a big bantamweight who tends to fade in the 3rd.  He is very aggresive which really complements Martinez’s style either of them push the ground game much but look out for Martinez’s counters in the match up i got $30 on this matchup.

We are going to get into Prop bets for the first time here. So were are going to pick a Prop bet for the Shevchenko vs Cookagian fight.  Since the straight moneyline for this fight is insane. Valentina is around (-855) favorite and in some books (-1600). For  reference I get my moneylines from 5dimes.  At those lines there isn’t really any value in betting Valetina and I hate Chookagian fighting style and i can’t wait for her to get KO’d and will be against her at all times.  Even with that emotion i will not bet the moneyline because there is no value however

Valentina Shevchenko (-125) to win by decision. 

Shevchenko is a monster she is Muay Thai specialist but she is a complete fighter and I think P4P best female fighter in the world.  She won that second fight with Amanda Nunes.   However, how dominant she might be those finishes are hard to get when a fighter doesn’t want to engage.  Chookagian game plan will be circle, not engage, and lose by decision.  He favorite strikes are air strikes.  She will unload combos at the air at will.  God I hate fighting style.  She is like Holly Holm but more boring and less finishes and a worst Instagram.  So I got $25 on Valentina to win by decision.

Trevin Giles (-145) vs Antonio Arroyo (+135)

I got pick a an underdog Antonio is my underdog for this card.  Trevin Giles is an undersized Middleweight. He will have the crowd behind him which will either help or hurt as a Houston Cop.  I’ve got Arroyo because he has got a lot of power and good ground defense.  I’m was impressed with his last loss because it was against a ground specialist with the majority of his wins were by submission.  Being able to get out of bad positions and back to your feet is a must at this level.  Look at for the body kick by Arroyo.  I’ve got $20 on Arroyo.  This is why I stop doing the whole deep dive on one fight because as you can see I think half the time a fight gets pulled its during or right after weigh-ins.  Antonio Arroyo successfully made weight but ended up passing out afterwards.  He was taken to the hospital. Now taking the fight on one day notice is James Krause.  Whose welterweight and basically just taking the fight at his walking around weight.  The line on this fight is even, Vegas thinks he is a live dog and with 6 fight win streak I’m going to put $10 James Krause at -110