UFC 246

It's been awhile since i’ve posted. Most of the sports betting news I chosen to share via Facebook.  Mainly because the developments are just stories from the Post or a local news reporter and not my own writing.  If you haven’t been following DC enacted emergency legislation in order to get a jump on sports betting ahead of the other nearby states.  Also it could take advantage of the revenue from the fall sports such as MLB Playoffs, NBA, NHL NFL, the  never-ending season of MMA or even boring ass soccer.  The whole thing has been riddled with issues.  Rather than read my 8th grade description of what happened, please read this nice Washington Post article.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/dc-sports-betting-app-to-go-live-in-march-capital-one-arena-seeks-sportsbook/2020/01/10/c30d7eaa-33e6-11ea-a053-dc6d944ba776_story.html

In my previous Money Bets, I have focused on one fight.  My thought pattern has changed on this approach.  I joined a football spread pool and I did horribly.  It led me to seek out experts who were also bad a picking winners but during the course of my discovery. I did get some insights in the game of sports betting.  One, don’t throw all your eggs into one basket.  Often I would do a research for one fight and somehow the MMA gods would pull that fight for me, leaving me scrambling to find a new pick.  What I learned was to pick a couple of fights and spread your bets around changing your wagers depending on your confidence level. I’ve got about 7 UFC events before this thing goes live so let’s see how this new system works.  I’m giving myself a $250 bankroll. 

UFC 246

Welterweight	Conor McGregor	vs.	Donald Cerrone
Women's Bantamweight	Holly Holm	vs.	Raquel Pennington
Heavyweight	Aleksei Oleinik	vs.	Maurice Greene
Women's Strawweight	Cláudia Gadelha	vs.	Alexa Grasso
Lightweight	Anthony Pettis	vs.	Carlos Diego Ferreira
Women's Flyweight	Roxanne Modafferi	vs.	Maycee Barber
Featherweight	Andre Fili	vs.	Sodiq Yusuff
Lightweight	Drew Dober	vs.	Nasrat Haqparast
Featherweight	Chas Skelly	vs.	Grant Dawson
Light Heavyweight	Aleksa Camur	vs.	Justin Ledet
Flyweight	Tim Elliott	vs.	Askar Askarov
Bantamweight	Brian Kelleher	vs.	Ode Osbourne
Women's Flyweight	Sabina Mazo	vs.	JJ Aldrich

(-300) Conor McGregor vs (+250) Donald Cerrone

I’ve been mulling this fight over and over again.  Trying to justify a bet against Conor.  I feel the line should be closer but this is the thing about Cowboy.  He doesn’t show up for these fights.  He’s been given this for a #1 contender slot so many times.  This is the biggest stage yet.  This is the biggest payday of his career and even despite his title shot lost against Dos Anjos this is the biggest fight of his career.  I think Cowboy is a live dog in this fight ONLY if he can get pass the first round.  Once it gets pass round one, the fight is all Cowboy.  So I’m putting $5 on Cowboy

(+215) Anthony Pettis vs (-255) Carlos Diego Ferrera

Here is the thing I think Pettis messed himself up going down to 145lbs. I don’t think he can get in there with a strong guy who is going to just walk him down and beat on him.  Pettis has been making an excuse or getting hurt in these fights trying to  find a way out.  I hope the god you don’t follow me on twitter but if you do I’ve been banging the drum about fixing Mairbek Tismumov’s Visa issues so he can fight in the US.  I was amazed when Feirrera just walk that guy down and beat him up for the three downs. Tismumov did catch Ferrera but he was able to come back and keep up the pressure. The guy has chin on him.  I’ve got $15 on Ferrera

(+115) Andre Fili vs (-130) Sodiq Yusuff

First off the last thing I want to do is bet against a Nigerian from the DMV.  He has looked good, he is athletic but I think the betting lines should be somewhere around even or with Fili having the slight edge.  It really comes down to experience. Fili looked real good in his last fight and it looks if he has finally put it all together.  I’ve got $10 on Fili