Saturday, June 8, 2019

The Money Bet #9


This whole card is pretty good.  It’s actually pretty stacked.  We’ve got two title fights and the fight I’m super pumped is Ferguson vs Cerrone.  It is the People’s Main Event and no that was not coined by Ariel.  Its going to be a good night of fights.  This Money Bet is going to be on the curtain jerker. 



Joanne Calderwood (-105)                             Katlyn Chookagian (-105)
            13-3                                                                 12-2

So I’ve been extremely hesitant about making picks on the last couple of cards since Rose lost.  I’m about to make a make a pick based on my fandom but I have the stats to back up the pick.


Katlyn Chookgian
Joanne Calderwood
Striking


Strikes Landed per Min. (SLpM)
4.08
5.86
Striking Accuracy
31%
50%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. (SApM)
4.21
4.14
Defense
63%
49%
Grappling


Takedowns Average/15 min.
0.00
1.61
Takedown Accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown Defense
63%
53%
Submission Average/15 min.
0.2
0.7

Bias Disclosure.  So strikes landed is strong predictive indicator so that’s why I’m picking JoJo.  Another reason is her 31% accuracy of Chookgian.  This is mostly because she dances around trying to point fight.  She throws pillow punches and kicks so she hasn’t finished a ingle fight in the UFC.  She has similar style to Holly Holm but she has less power, no setups and more evasive.  Honestly I can’t stand her fighting style.  I feel like her ground is so bad that she avoids any kind of engagement.  I can’t wait till she gets cut. JoJo is going to get her to the ground and GnP if she doesn’t knock her out on the feet.  I’ve got 27 left in my bank roll.  I’m putting down my last $20 on JoJo which would result in a payout of $19.05.


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