Saturday, June 8, 2019

The Money Bet #9


This whole card is pretty good.  It’s actually pretty stacked.  We’ve got two title fights and the fight I’m super pumped is Ferguson vs Cerrone.  It is the People’s Main Event and no that was not coined by Ariel.  Its going to be a good night of fights.  This Money Bet is going to be on the curtain jerker. 



Joanne Calderwood (-105)                             Katlyn Chookagian (-105)
            13-3                                                                 12-2

So I’ve been extremely hesitant about making picks on the last couple of cards since Rose lost.  I’m about to make a make a pick based on my fandom but I have the stats to back up the pick.


Katlyn Chookgian
Joanne Calderwood
Striking


Strikes Landed per Min. (SLpM)
4.08
5.86
Striking Accuracy
31%
50%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. (SApM)
4.21
4.14
Defense
63%
49%
Grappling


Takedowns Average/15 min.
0.00
1.61
Takedown Accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown Defense
63%
53%
Submission Average/15 min.
0.2
0.7

Bias Disclosure.  So strikes landed is strong predictive indicator so that’s why I’m picking JoJo.  Another reason is her 31% accuracy of Chookgian.  This is mostly because she dances around trying to point fight.  She throws pillow punches and kicks so she hasn’t finished a ingle fight in the UFC.  She has similar style to Holly Holm but she has less power, no setups and more evasive.  Honestly I can’t stand her fighting style.  I feel like her ground is so bad that she avoids any kind of engagement.  I can’t wait till she gets cut. JoJo is going to get her to the ground and GnP if she doesn’t knock her out on the feet.  I’ve got 27 left in my bank roll.  I’m putting down my last $20 on JoJo which would result in a payout of $19.05.


Wednesday, June 5, 2019

The Misfit - Jessica Eye

So I just read Jessica's article on The Player's Tribune The Misfit. I never read the Player's Tribune before but if you haven't its essentially short stories or articles by athletes.  I enjoyed the article its not a long read so I suggest reading it.  I will tell you this it definitely made me more of a Jessica Eye fan.  I'm glad the UFC finally made the 125 division.  She was definitely to small for 135 and shown that this is her weightclass.  Jessica Eye first caught my eye in her second fight in Bellator she was fighting Zola Gurgel.  This fight stood out to me because of how it ended.  Jessica had locked in a standing arm triangle which i've seen locked in before but never finished while standing.  I was very excited and was in total arm chair coach mode. At the time, I was adamant that she wouldn't be able to finish the submission and she should just not waste the energy trying to lock it in and just use the choke to take her to the ground. Boy was I wrong, she locked that standing arm triangle and that was the first time I've seen that submission locked in while standing.  I don't think people understand its very hard to cut the angle while standing to lock it in you hat use a lot of muscle because you can't angle out like you could on the ground.  It was very impressive. I watch a lot of fights and never seen that before, so I was excited to see her in the UFC and even after a four fight losing streak she is still here and now fighting for the title.  This Saturday Jessica Eye faces Valentina Shevshenko.


Jessica Eye vs Valentina Shevchenko odds - BestFightOdds

Yes! Those are odds are crazy high, Jessica Eye is the biggest underdog on the card.  Though I enjoyed the article and will be rooting for Jessica.  I will not be betting on Jessica Eye.  The Rocky Story was last week with Andy Ruiz its not happening again that soon but you never know its the fight game.