Monday, March 4, 2019

Monday Morning Analyst #3

 Monday Morning Analyst #3

No one is going to be believe and I didn't right it down but I knew that was going to be the only way Misha was going to loose.  I literally said to wife and mother-in-law before he landed the knee that the only way Walker could win as if he could time that flying knee.  Well he did it.  I'm not even pissed off that I lost the bet but I do so many re-writes of these posts that at some point I had a sentence watch  out for flying knees but I decided to change that out for some reason.  We make mistakes we learn from them and that's really what this blog is about.  So let's take a look at my bank roll now.  Well I had $137.50 - $40 = $98 is my new bankroll.

Other upsets that we have to talk about Diego Sanchez vs Mickey Gall.  Mickey Gall came in so fast and strong he basically blow his wad in the first round.  I knew he has been working on his striking with Joe Schilling and wanted to take his new toys for a test drive and just red lined his engine.  I think this quote sums up that fight.


Diego just weathered the storm found the opportunity for a take down and made Gall work to get up back to his feet. Draining Gall to point that getting the finish was easy work for Diego who hadn't finished an opponent in 11 years.

Usman vs Woodley I was really shocked by the outcome of this fight. I wasn't shocked that Usman could do that.  I was shocked that Woodley let him.  I think it was the 4th round were Woodley's corner man Din Thomas,  just light a spark in his ass.  My wife and I were wondering if Tyron was going to do something other than back up against the cage and get beat up. Nope, his strategy did not waiver.

So an old coworker was texting me about my thoughts on the fight.  My thoughts on this fight were Tyron did the same thing he did with Rory MacDonald and a lesser extent what he did in the Gastelum fight, he let the other fighter dictate the fight to the point where Tyron is no longer looking for counters but defending offense.  When you are thinking about past performances its hard because fighters improve and you can chalk it up to a bad day in the office but you also have to evaluate the attributes of those opponents who have given him a bad day.  Its been guys who can mix it up.  I think we all got blinded by the Darren Till performance because that was an amazing performance where he just shutdown Till.  The striking metrics were 74 strikes for Woodley to Till's single strike landed.  Its easy to concentrate on that one hitter quitter when you don't have to worry about someone taking you down.  So when he's facing Robbie Lawler or Darren Till he knows their not feinting a takedown its probably the right that's coming.  Counter!

Derrick Lewis vs Junior Dos Santos odds - BestFightOdds

I've already decided what fight I'm going to breakdown its going to be the headliner Lewis vs Dos Santos.  I don't understand this betting line at all I don't think these bookies watch fights.  Please stay tuned for Money Bet #4.  

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