Sunday, May 27, 2018

UFC Fight Night 130 Thompson vs Till






Weight class



Method
Welterweight
vs.
Till 1TKO
Welterweight
vs.
Craig White
Neil Magny 2nd TKO
Featherweight
vs.
Mads Burnell
Arnold Allen Dec
Featherweight
vs.
Makwan Amirkani
Bantamweight
vs.
Manny Bermudez

Middleweight
vs.
Spicely 1st RD Sub
Welterweight
vs.
Taleb Dec
Middleweight
vs.
Tom Breese 2nd KO
Welterweight
vs.
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
Carlo Pedersoli 1st KO
Women's Flyweight
Gillian Robertson
vs.
Molly McCann
McCann 3rd TKO
Middleweight
vs.
Theodorou Dec
Women's Bantamweight
Gina Mazany
vs.
Gina Mazany Dec

Tom Breese (-310) vs Daniel Kelly (+255)




Daniel Kelly is on a two fight losing skid, it seems as the 40 year old olympian is losing the race against father time.  On other hand Tom Breese is moving up in weight class as another fighter who has figured out that being 6’3 and depleting yourself down to 170 when you walk around 205 isn’t optimal.  Having only one loss coming via split decision against Sean Strickland.


Darren Till (-105) vs Stephen Thompson (-115)


I wouldn’t bet on this fight, Darren Till is good, I’m not denying that but this is a big fight for him.  This is a big step up above Cowboy Cerrone. Stephen Thompson is fantastic at keeping the distance and attacking in space.   Darren Till is also an excellent striker with more of a Muay Thai stance, leaning heavy on that lead leg. I’m picking Darren Till on my DraftKings Card for two reasons: he is fighting in the main event, more rounds to finish or rack up points.  Second, he is priced at a point in the game that it's worthwhile to put him on your card. Would I put money on Darren Till “No” but he is worth an upset pick on your Draftkings card. Darren’s game plan will be eat Two to give One. I think he has the striking ability to finish the fight.  So let’s see how this fight plays out. It’s going to be an exciting fight.


Carlo Pedersoli (-160) vs Bradley Scott (+140)


I’ve seen absolutely no film on Carlo Pedersoli and he is taking this fight on short notice but I’m still picking him to beat Bradley Scott.  Scott is usually reserved as a regional fighter and his main weapon is being super tough and in shape. Bradley is also making his welterweight debut so let’s see how this cut goes.   Carlo has been fighting on the regional scene he is 10-1 finishing 4 out of his last 5 with his last decision win coming against former UFC fighter Nicolas Dalby. Bradley hasn’t beat anyone who is still in the UFC.  Dylan Andrews, Scott Askham, and Michael Kuiper have all been cut. Bradley Scott is a gatekeeper of the european fighters on the regional scene and Carlo Pedersoil seems to be legitimate prospect so I think Carlo can come away with the win.  
Makwan Amirkhani (+135)  vs Jason Knight (-155)


Hick Diaz, Yes!!! Great to see Jason Knight in the cage again.  However, before i rant about how fun he is to watch. I’m going with Makwan Amirkhani basically because of takedowns. Yes, Jason Knight has great rubber guard but I haven’t seen him land a triangle yet or an omoplata. Makwan isn’t interesting with brawling with Knight.  This fight is going to be won via top control and Makwan has the wrestling to do so.


Jason Knight
Makwan Amirkhani
Takedowns Average/15 min.
1.77
4.24
Takedown Accuracy
32%
45%
Takedown Defense
52%
50%
Submission Average/15 min.
2.1
2.4

Gina Mazany (-105)  vs Lina Lansberg (-115)


Lina Lansberg is a Muay Thai fighter who has switched over to MMA.  She likes the clinch and predominantly presses her opponent against the cage.  Which is perfect for Gina Mazany who wants the takedowns. Once again takedowns for the win.  

Gina Mazany
Lina Lansberg
Takedowns Average/15 min.
4.62
0.50
Takedown Accuracy
71%
12%
Takedown Defense
25%
40%
Submission Average/15 min.
0.0
0.0


Molly McCann (-245) vs Gillian Robertson (+205)

Molly McCann is coming from Cage Warriors with a recent win in February to gain the inaugural Cage Warriors Flyweight belt.  Her path to victory was sprawling and brawling. She stuffed each one of her opponents shot and then finished the fight on her feet.  Gillian Robertson isn't much of a striker and her only path to victory is via submission. Based off what I’ve seen of both of them Molly McCann for the win sprawl n brawl for the win.



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