Friday, July 7, 2017

UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko - Picks and DraftKings Card

UFC 213: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2



Amanda Nunes vs. Valentina Shevchenko
Shevhenko 2nd Sub
Yoel Romero vs. Robert Whittaker
Romero 3rd KO
Fabricio Werdum vs. Alistair Overeem
Werdum 2nd Sub
Anthony Pettis vs. Jim Miller
Pettis Dec
Travis Browne vs. Oleksiy Oliynyk
Olynyk Sub 2nd
Chad Laprise vs. Brian Camozzi
Laprise Dec
Daniel OmielaƄczuk vs. Curtis Blaydes
Blaydes Dec
Jordan Mein vs. Belal Muhammad
Mein 2nd KO
Rob Font vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade
Andrade Dec
Thiago Santos vs. Gerald Meerschaert
Meerschaert 2nd Sub
Cody Stamann vs. Terrion Ware
Stamann Dec

Trevin Giles vs. James Bochnovic
Bochhnovic 1st Sub


My DraftKings Picks


Chad Laprise (-600) vs.(+450) Brian Camozzi

Wow look at those odds, ok we get it betting line, Chad is going to win. Will he get the finish. Probably. I can easily see Chad Laprise playing it safe and not push for the finish. Chad will be able defends Camozzi's takedown and will be the superior striker.



Thiago Santos (-145) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+125)

Thiago will have the striking advantage in this fight. Power advantage, Yes that goes to Santos not arguing that point. However Santos has a serious weakness on the ground. I'm picking Meerscheart because he finishes fights and i like his chances of pulling off a submission. If you have to pick an underdog pick the underdog that has a clear advantage in one area and finishes.




Yoel Romero (-105) vs. Robert Whittaker (-115)


I don't get the betting line on this fight.  I don't get why Yoel was even at +120 at one point.  I don't even think this is a Pick'em fight.  He has been an underdog in all of his fights in the UFC.  Is it because he is 39 years old.  If 39 years old means you are built like a Ninja Turtle than i can't wait to turn 39.  So the MMA experts are giving Whittaker the striking advantage. Yes to enable that advantage you a fighter has to be standing.  Yoel is Olympic Silver medalist in wrestling.  He can take his opponents down at will but he doesn't because he doesn't need to.  Yoel lulls his opponents to sleep with his slow rhythmic style.  At that point where you think you have his timing. Bam he explodes and your own the canvas.  This fight isn't a pick'em and its a most pick for your Draftkings Card.  

Amanda Nunes (-110) vs. Valentina Shevchenko (-110)

I don't think people know how undersized Valetina is for the weight division. She should be fighting at 125, she doesn't cut any weight for this division. My point in this is is she can hang in here because she is an excellent striker and after watching her fight against Julianna Pena she is pure mixed martial artists. I was so impressed with her ability to take down Pena who was the superior grappler. She ended up submitting her which was even more surprising. Amanda Nunes is the champion and she won their first fight but both these fighters are different fighters from when they first fought. I gotta pick Shevchenko because in their first fight Shevchenko was able to outlast Nunes in the 3rd round and really put it on her. Nunes will be the bigger puncher in this fight and she does have KO power but Shevchenko's ability to gauge distance will help with evading her power. I just think Shevchenko is the superior fighter with a better gas tank. Shevnenko is another most pick for your Draftkings card. She signed up for 5 round fight so given the chance she can rack up a lot of points if she doesn't get the finish. But I don't see this fight going the distance.


Cody Stamann (-260) vs. Terrion Ware (+220)

So the first two fights on this card were added last week. So I'm picking the guy with the better record. That's the breakdown.











 Fabricio Werdum (+105) vs. Alistair Overeem (-125)


I get the odds on this one. Allistair Overeem won the last fight between these two fighters.
there was a lot of butt scouting with Fabricio not wanting to engage much in the striking but that's
not the case anymore. Fabricio stands with everyone now. Also Allistair Overeem doesn't have
a chin anymore. So with Fabricio being comptent striker and having the obvious ground game
advantage I gotta go with Fabricio. Since the striker will spend the majority of the fight
running around looking for angles because he can't take a punch anymore







Thursday, July 6, 2017

The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale Picks and Draft Kings Card.




The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale




Michael Johnson vs. Justin Gaethje
Johnson Dec


Dhiego Lima vs. Jesse Taylor
Lima 2nd Sub


Marc Diakiese vs. Drakkar Klose
Diakiese 1st KO


Jared Cannonier vs. Nick Roehrick
Cannoier 1st KO


Brad Tavares vs. Elias Theodorou

Brad Tavares Split Dec


Jordan Johnson vs. Marcel Fortuna

Fortuna Sub 2nd


Angela Hill vs. Ashley Yoder

Hill 1st KO


James Krause vs. Tom Gallicchio
Krause 2nd Sub


Ed Herman vs. C.B. Dollaway
Dollaway Dec


Jessica Eye vs. Aspen Ladd
Ladd Dec


Gray Maynard vs. Teruto Ishihara
Maynard Dec


Tecia Torres vs. Juliana Lima
Torres Dec


My DraftKings Picks:

*This is going to brief breakdown for this card .  I'm saving my more detail breakdown for UFC 213.



Jared Cannonier (-265) vs Nick Roehrick (+245)



Jared opponent is making his debut on a weeks notice.  The UFC gave Jared a tough opponent in Glover Teixeria in his 2nd fight at Light Heavyweight.  He didn't get finished so taking on a nobody on a weeks notice should be an easier fight than his original opponent. 





Marc Diakiese (-255) vs. Drakkar Klose (+235)


Marc is just a freak athlete.  He has a tendency to rely on his athletic ability rather than technique. He is just to strong and explosive and Drakkar Klose doesn't posses the technique to get past him.




Jordan Johnson (-225) vs. Marcel Fortuna (+225)



Going against the odds makers on this one. I'm picking Fortuna just based off his jiu jitsu credentials. Also because he took his UFC debut against a Heavyweight and knocked him out in the first round. So he is now fighting in his proper weight class of LHW. He is fighting an undefeated fighter but I think Fortuna training with Daniel Comier will help with Fortuna to utilize his BJJ game to get the fight to where he wants it.



Angela Hill(-340) vs. Ashley Yoder(+310)


Hill is the superior athlete and as long as her takedown defense holds up. I don't see Yoder coming close to victory.   





Jessica Eye (+105) vs. Aspen Ladd (-125)

I'm picking Ladd just out of my sheer disappointment in Eye. Ladd will land enough takedowns to get the victory. I'm betting that Eye still hasn't learned to stuff them so I'm picking Ladd.






Dhiego Lima (+150) vs. Jesse Taylor (-170)

The line has been shrinking on this fight. Vegas has this one wrong and Its shrinking for good reason. Jesse Taylor is one note. He isn't a devastating striker. He is a straight wrestler with GnP. If Dhiego can't sprawl and brawl. He will end up submitting Jesse Taylor. Dhiego is going to make Jesse pay for each takedown.