Wow, Four months after the Serra-style “shock the world” KO
of Ronda Rousey. Holm is back in the Octagon against No. 1 Contender Miesha
Tate. I will tell you this, Miesha Tate
is a tougher matchup for Holly Holm than Ronda Rousey.
I think this fight is going to come to game plan and
adjustments in the ring. We all watched Rousey fight where Rousey just kept
coming charging forwarded and kept getting picked apart. Miesha showed she could make adjustments in
the Jessica Eye fight. Eye was winning
the early exchanges, then Miesha made some adjustments in her striking and BOOM
dropped Eye in the first round with a big punch.
When it comes to game plans, Holly Holm’ game plan is to
keep the distance. Holly used a lot of
footwork and a lot of lateral movement in her last fight. Miesha’s game plan has to be to effectively
close the distance. Not by rushing in
but by cutting off the cage. Not only should Miesha impede her movement by
cutting her off, she also needs to attack her legs. Miesha shouldn’t even attempt a takedown for
the first two rounds. Miesha needs to
maintain Octagon control, attack Holly’s legs and if she can, hold her against
the cage. Foot stomps!!. Wearing out the legs is key.
Miesha also needs to worry about her cardio when she is
working against the fence. She is going
to have to make Holly work harder to improve her position while maintaining a
dominant position without letting the ref return them to the center of the
Octagon. She should make it a grueling
fight. Planting her forehead against
Holly’s upper body and press her against the fence. Holly
holm is probably the strongest 135 lbs in the division. She is long and lean and Miesha is not going
to be able to out muscle her, so her technique is going to have to be on
point.
The next key to victory is countering those front leg
sidekicks. This is going to be Holly’s
primary weapon. Holly loves to use this
technique, to keep her opponents from closing the distance. Miesha needs find a way to counter this technique
by timing side step counter strike or takedown.
I’m predicting Miesha to win this one; Miesha has the
durability and the experience to squeak out a win. Holly is going to be concerned about the takedown. Holly Holm will probably be on her bike
again. Miesha can’t get over aggressive and let Holly Holm sit down on that
counter left, while she charges in. When
she does come in she has to use superior head movement. This is going to be a snoozer of a fight, if
Miesha wants to win.
Predication Miesha Tate Split decision
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